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Four critical factors, the per capita GDP, energy consumption, energy structure, and CO2 emissions,are mainly considered as the indicators to measure the level of low-carbon economic development. Meanwhile, based on LEAP model,the base scenario, low-carbon scenario,and frustrated low-carbon scenario are formulated to simulate China's low-carbon economic development level in 2050. The results show that the total terminal energy demands in the three kinds of scenarios are respectively 6.095 billion tons of standard coal, 5.236 billion tons of standard coal, and 6.239 billion tons of standard coal in 2050. The study indicates that China has achieved a considerable decrease in its CO2 emissions mainly due to improved energy intensity.In addition, fuel switching and renewable energy penetration also exhibit positive effect to the CO2 decrease.It is a more effective guarantee for achieving the goal of low-carbon economy to adjust the industrial structure, fully develop clean coal and coal technology, and improve energy efficiency.", "publicationTitle": "Energy Procedia", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2011", "volume": "5", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "695-699", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "10.1016/j.egypro.2011.03.123", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876610211010599", "accessDate": "2012-01-27T19:26:33Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "1876-6102", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "ScienceDirect", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [ { "tag": "Development strategies", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "LEAP", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Low-carbon economy", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Scenario analysis", "type": 1 } ], "collections": [], "relations": { "dc:replaces": "http://zotero.org/groups/66397/items/GTHD74F8" }, "dateAdded": "2012-01-27T19:26:33Z", "dateModified": "2023-08-30T11:08:42Z" } }, { "key": "UZV5U7J4", "version": 84, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/UZV5U7J4", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/UZV5U7J4", "type": "text/html" }, "up": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/TR2TA57Q", "type": "application/json" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 892886, "username": "CharlieHeaps", "name": "Charles Heaps", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/charlieheaps", "type": "text/html" } } } }, "data": { "key": "UZV5U7J4", "version": 84, "parentItem": "TR2TA57Q", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "imported_url", "title": "ScienceDirect Snapshot", "accessDate": "2012-01-27T19:26:36Z", "url": "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876610211010599", "note": "", "contentType": "", "charset": "", "filename": "Tao et al. - 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It describes the model’s formulation in terms of a ‘plain English’ description, algebraic formulation, implementation—in terms of its full source code, as well as a detailed description of the model inputs, parameters, and outputs. A key feature of the OSeMOSYS implementation is that it is contained in less than five pages of documented, easily accessible code. Other existing energy system models that do not have this emphasis on compactness and openness makes the barrier to entry by new users much higher, as well as making the addition of innovative new functionality very difficult. The paper begins by describing the rationale for the development of OSeMOSYS and its structure. The current preliminary implementation of the model is then demonstrated for a discrete example. Next, we explain how new development efforts will build on the existing OSeMOSYS codebase. 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"meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1497046, "username": "tbinnington", "name": "Taylor Binnington", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/tbinnington", "type": "text/html" } } }, "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "QI66EWBI", "version": 62, "parentItem": "CNN9CMV5", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "imported_file", "title": "Decarbonization of Turkish Electricity Sector by Hasret SAHIN.pdf", "accessDate": "", "url": "", "note": "", "contentType": "application/pdf", "charset": "", "filename": "Decarbonization of Turkish Electricity Sector by Hasret SAHIN.pdf", "md5": "757c74795f8f982c5278266d603f98f3", "mtime": 1432004301542, "tags": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2016-02-29T19:02:05Z", "dateModified": "2016-02-29T19:02:05Z" } }, { "key": "CNN9CMV5", "version": 60, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/CNN9CMV5", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/CNN9CMV5", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1497046, "username": "tbinnington", "name": "Taylor Binnington", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/tbinnington", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Şahin", "parsedDate": "2014-03", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "CNN9CMV5", "version": 60, "itemType": "thesis", "title": "Decarbonization of Turkish Public Electricity Sector: Adopting Sustainable Energy Portfolio", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Hasret", "lastName": "Şahin" } ], "abstractNote": "", "thesisType": "M.Sc.", "university": "Middle East Technical University", "place": "", "date": "March 2014", "series": "", "seriesNumber": "", "numPages": "176", "DOI": "", "ISBN": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2016-02-29T18:59:38Z", "dateModified": "2016-02-29T19:01:43Z" } }, { "key": "FGW9Q986", "version": 56, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/FGW9Q986", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/FGW9Q986", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Ahmad and Batool", "parsedDate": "2015", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "FGW9Q986", "version": 56, "itemType": "bookSection", "title": "Evaluation of energy demand and air emissions by using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) model in transport sector of Punjab, Pakistan", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Sheikh Saeed", "lastName": "Ahmad" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Sveda Oamar", "lastName": "Batool" } ], "abstractNote": "This book provides insights on a broad spectrum of renewable and sustainable energy technologies from the world’s leading experts. It highlights the latest achievements in policy, research and applications, keeping readers up-to-date on progress in this rapidly advancing field. Detailed studies of technological breakthroughs and optimizations are contextualized with in-depth examinations of experimental and industrial installations, connecting lab innovations to success in the field.The volume contains selected papers presented at technical and plenary sessions at the World Renewable Energy Congress, the world's premier conference on renewable energy and sustainable development. Held every two years, the Congress provides an international forum that attracts hundreds of delegates from more than 60 countries.", "bookTitle": "Renewable Energy in the Service of Mankind", "series": "", "seriesNumber": "", "volume": "I", "numberOfVolumes": "", "edition": "", "date": "2015", "publisher": "Springer", "place": "", "originalDate": "", "originalPublisher": "", "originalPlace": "", "format": "", "pages": "", "ISBN": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319177762", "accessDate": "2015-10-03T19:15:34Z", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "books.google.se", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2015-10-03T19:15:34Z", "dateModified": "2015-10-03T19:17:39Z" } }, { "key": "QEU787QI", "version": 50, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/QEU787QI", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/QEU787QI", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Amarawardhana et al.", "parsedDate": "2015", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "QEU787QI", "version": 50, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Modeling of Energy Utilization of Tourism Industry of Sri Lanka and Prediction of Future Energy Demand", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "K. N.", "lastName": "Amarawardhana" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "N. S.", "lastName": "Senanayake" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Ruchira", "lastName": "Abeyweera" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "K. N.", "lastName": "Amarawardhana" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "N. S.", "lastName": "Senanayake" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Ruchira", "lastName": "Abeyweera" } ], "abstractNote": "Tourism industry in Sri Lanka shares a substantial amount of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and predicts an immense expansion within a short time frame. Owing to its energy intensiveness and competitiveness, a scrutiny in the energy utilization and the related impact on the environment is crucial. Furthermore, trend towards ecotourism forces the requirement of foreseeing a green energy supply to meet the ever rising demand. In this study, utilization of energy in the graded hotels in the country was modeled through LEAP (Long Range Energy Alternatives Planning System) software to predict the future energy demand. Monthly energy consumption data for three consecutive years for a sample of hotels covering classified and unclassified hotel establishments were used for modeling. Four scenarios were then analyzed based on the baseline scenario representing the country’s tourism industry profile of year 2010. It is shown that the energy intensiveness of the tourism industry will be overwhelming unless the DSM (Demand Side Management) tools are properly amalgamated for mitigation. Further the results of the study revealed that the existing electricity generation plan does not accommodate fuel diversification and energy mix, and needs revisions to induct renewable sources for greening energy supply of the country. The study provides an insight in identifying socially acceptable policy scenarios in energy supply and use of the tourism industry.", "publicationTitle": "International Journal of Energy Engineering", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "/26/2015", "volume": "5", "issue": "5", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "87-94", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "Tourism industry in Sri Lanka shares a substantial amount of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and predicts an immense expansion within a short time frame. Owing to its energy intensiveness and competitiveness, a scrutiny in the energy utilization and the related impact on the environment is crucial. Furthermore, trend towards ecotourism forces the requirement of foreseeing a green energy supply to meet the ever rising demand. In this study, utilization of energy in the graded hotels in the country was modeled through LEAP (Long Range Energy Alternatives Planning System) software to predict the future energy demand. Monthly energy consumption data for three consecutive years for a sample of hotels covering classified and unclassified hotel establishments were used for modeling. Four scenarios were then analyzed based on the baseline scenario representing the country’s tourism industry profile of year 2010. It is shown that the energy intensiveness of the tourism industry will be overwhelming unless the DSM (Demand Side Management) tools are properly amalgamated for mitigation. Further the results of the study revealed that the existing electricity generation plan does not accommodate fuel diversification and energy mix, and needs revisions to induct renewable sources for greening energy supply of the country. The study provides an insight in identifying socially acceptable policy scenarios in energy supply and use of the tourism industry.", "accessDate": "2015-10-03T18:03:52Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "2163-1905", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "en", "libraryCatalog": "article.sapub.org", "callNumber": "", "rights": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2015-10-03T18:03:52Z", "dateModified": "2015-10-03T18:03:52Z" } }, { "key": "RK43BEF8", "version": 49, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/RK43BEF8", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/RK43BEF8", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Luukkanen et al.", "parsedDate": "2015-11", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "RK43BEF8", "version": 49, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Long-run energy scenarios for Cambodia and Laos: Building an integrated techno-economic and environmental modelling framework for scenario analyses", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Jyrki", "lastName": "Luukkanen" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Orkide", "lastName": "Akgün" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Jari", "lastName": "Kaivo-oja" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Mika", "lastName": "Korkeakoski" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Tytti", "lastName": "Pasanen" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Juha", "lastName": "Panula-Ontto" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Jarmo", "lastName": "Vehmas" } ], "abstractNote": "This article analyses energy trends in Cambodia and Laos and constructs future scenarios. The target is (i) to compare different scenario methods, (ii) to construct scenarios with these methods, (iii) to analyse the future energy demand and the related CO2 emissions and (iv) to analyse the potential role of renewable energy sources and their impact on CO2 emissions.\n\nDecomposition scenarios have been constructed based on the trends of the drivers of the energy consumption and CO2 emissions. More detailed scenarios have been constructed using combined LEAP/LINDA models to take into account the structural socio-economic and technological changes in the energy system. The paper provides a novel combination of bottom-up modelling and macroeconomic modelling. The constructed scenarios indicate rapid increase in energy consumption and related CO2 emissions mainly due to the fast economic growth and industrialization. Increase in fossil fuel use in electricity production in the future increases the emissions considerably.\n\nThe potential of different renewable agricultural residues is analysed to evaluate the possibilities to reduce the CO2 emissions and fossil fuel import dependence. The reduction potential is considerably large in both countries.", "publicationTitle": "Energy", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "November 2015", "volume": "91", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "866-881", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "Energy", "DOI": "10.1016/j.energy.2015.08.091", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544215011676", "accessDate": "2015-10-03T18:02:37Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "0360-5442", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "Long-run energy scenarios for Cambodia and Laos", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "ScienceDirect", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [ { "tag": "Decomposition analysis", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Energy scenarios", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Modelling", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Renewable energy", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Sustainability", "type": 1 } ], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2015-10-03T18:02:37Z", "dateModified": "2015-10-03T18:02:37Z" } }, { "key": "N7E8J6UN", "version": 48, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/N7E8J6UN", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/N7E8J6UN", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Dale et al.", "parsedDate": "2015", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "N7E8J6UN", "version": 48, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "An integrated assessment of water-energy and climate change in Sacramento, California: how strong is the nexus?", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Larry L.", "lastName": "Dale" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Nihan", "lastName": "Karali" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Dev", "lastName": "Millstein" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Mike", "lastName": "Carnall" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Sebastian", "lastName": "Vicuña" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Nicolas", "lastName": "Borchers" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Eduardo", "lastName": "Bustos" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Joe", "lastName": "O’Hagan" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "David", "lastName": "Purkey" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Charles", "lastName": "Heaps" }, { "creatorType": "author", "name": "others" } ], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "Climatic Change", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2015", "volume": "", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "1–13", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-015-1370-x", "accessDate": "2015-08-06T03:09:15Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "An integrated assessment of water-energy and climate change in sacramento, california", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "Google Scholar", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2015-08-06T03:09:15Z", "dateModified": "2015-08-12T21:31:38Z" } }, { "key": "PUGDJAUC", "version": 47, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/PUGDJAUC", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/PUGDJAUC", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Khadivi and Moradi", "parsedDate": "2015-05-01", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "PUGDJAUC", "version": 47, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Cost-benefit analysis of energy saving strategies adopted by the commercial sector in Tehran", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Samira", "lastName": "Khadivi" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Mohammad Ali", "lastName": "Moradi" } ], "abstractNote": "This study presents a cost-benefit analysis of energy saving strategies for the commercial sector inTehran City. The article includes a discussion of the estimated energy demand for various energy saving scenarios. The cost-benefit analysis was performed separately for seven energy-saving scenarios based on the energy demand and supply forecasting model. According to which, energy demand of the commercial sector was considered as final consumption, which is a function of different parameters such as number of commercial units, number of electric vehicles, volume of commercial activities, labor force, etc. The research findings indicated that all of the proposed scenarios are economically viable, except for the forth scenario (the use of heat pumps). © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog, 34: 850–857, 2015", "publicationTitle": "Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "May 1, 2015", "volume": "34", "issue": "3", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "850-857", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "Environ. Prog. Sustainable Energy", "DOI": "10.1002/ep.12069", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ep.12069/abstract", "accessDate": "2015-08-06T03:16:21Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "1944-7450", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "en", "libraryCatalog": "Wiley Online Library", "callNumber": "", "rights": "© 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog", "extra": "", "tags": [ { "tag": "Energy demand", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "LEAP Software", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "Scenario", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "commercial sector", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "cost-benefit analysis", "type": 1 }, { "tag": "external cost", "type": 1 } ], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2015-08-06T03:16:21Z", "dateModified": "2015-08-06T03:16:21Z" } }, { "key": "G2HFGA3K", "version": 46, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 66397, "name": "SEI-LEAP", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/66397/items/G2HFGA3K", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/sei-leap/items/G2HFGA3K", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 425986, "username": "marionsd", "name": "Marion Davis", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/marionsd", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Yu et al.", "parsedDate": "2014-10-23", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "G2HFGA3K", "version": 46, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Urban energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Beijing: current and future", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Hao", "lastName": "Yu" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Su-Yan", "lastName": "Pan" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Bao-Jun", "lastName": "Tang" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Zhi-Fu", "lastName": "Mi" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Yan", "lastName": "Zhang" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Yi-Ming", "lastName": "Wei" } ], "abstractNote": "This paper calculates the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of Beijing over 2005–2011 in light of the Beijing’s energy balance table and the carbon emission coefficients of IPCC. Furthermore, based on a series of energy conservation planning program issued in Beijing, the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP)-BJ model is developed to study the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of Beijing’s six end-use sectors and the energy conversion sector over 2012–2030 under the BAU scenario and POL scenario. Some results are found in this research: (1) During 2005–2011, the energy consumption kept increasing, while the total CO2 emissions fluctuated obviously in 2008 and 2011. The energy structure and the industrial structure have been optimized to a certain extent. (2) If the policies are completely implemented, the POL scenario is projected to save 21.36 and 35.37 % of the total energy consumption and CO2 emissions than the BAU scenario during 2012 and 2030. (3) The POL scenario presents a more optimized energy structure compared with the BAU scenario, with the decrease of coal consumption and the increase of natural gas consumption. (4) The commerce and service sector and the energy conversion sector will become the largest contributor to energy consumption and CO2 emissions, respectively. The transport sector and the industrial sector are the two most potential sectors in energy savings and carbon reduction. In terms of subscenarios, the energy conservation in transport (TEC) is the most effective one. 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