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                    "lastName": "Smith"
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                {
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            "abstractNote": "Recent historic observed lows in Arctic sea ice extent, together with climate model projections of additional ice reductions in the future, have fueled speculations of potential new trans-Arctic shipping routes linking the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. However, numerical studies of how projected geophysical changes in sea ice will realistically impact ship navigation are lacking. To address this deficiency, we analyze seven climate model projections of sea ice properties, assuming two different climate change scenarios [representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5] and two vessel classes, to assess future changes in peak season (September) Arctic shipping potential. By midcentury, changing sea ice conditions enable expanded September navigability for common open-water ships crossing the Arctic along the Northern Sea Route over the Russian Federation, robust new routes for moderately ice-strengthened (Polar Class 6) ships over the North Pole, and new routes through the Northwest Passage for both vessel classes. Although numerous other nonclimatic factors also limit Arctic shipping potential, these findings have important economic, strategic, environmental, and governance implications for the region.",
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            "abstractNote": "Det Norske Veritas Limited (DNV) was engaged by IMO to plan, perform and report on a hazard identification (Hazid) workshop in support of the development of the environmental aspects of the Polar Code. The intention is to use the Hazid process and outputs as the foundation for the IMO “Polar Code” for shipping operations in polar waters. The main objective of the workshop was to identify all the technical issues relevant to the Polar Code (routine and accidental releases from ships into the environment, potential causal factors for accidental releases and potential controls).\nThis report describes the planning, execution and outputs of the workshop, including tasks performed immediately after the workshop. It consists of\n Section 2, which describes the scope and objectives of the workshop.\n Section 3, which describes the purpose of the workshop relative to the preparation of the Polar Code. It also states how the workshop outputs should be interpreted both from a wider Polar Code formulation point of view and from the more technical perspective that generic statements concerning harm or causes will always depend on the exact circumstances of an incident (its context).\n Section 4, which describes why the polar regions are special and need additional protection by the Polar Code.\n Section 5, which describes the workshop process and references the workshop outputs which are included in full in the Appendices.\n Section 6, which briefly summarises the report and describes some identified areas where additional information or systems could be used to increase safety and/ or reduce environmental impacts from shipping in polar waters.",
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