[ { "key": "C8SST58S", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/C8SST58S", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/C8SST58S", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "C8SST58S", "version": 1, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Resilience revisited", "creators": [], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "", "volume": "", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-08-11T18:18:33Z", "dateModified": "2010-08-11T18:18:33Z" } }, { "key": "DB6FRVSD", "version": 2, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/DB6FRVSD", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/DB6FRVSD", "type": "text/html" }, "up": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/AH4NBTUD", "type": "application/json" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 273662, "username": "lugerpitt", "name": "Louis Luangkesorn", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/lugerpitt", "type": "text/html" } } }, "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "DB6FRVSD", "version": 2, "parentItem": "AH4NBTUD", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "imported_url", "title": "jewell.pdf", "accessDate": "2010-05-11T03:03:55Z", "url": "http://ba.stat.cmu.edu/journal/2009/vol04/issue03/jewell.pdf", "note": "", "contentType": "application/pdf", "charset": "windows-1252", "filename": "jewell.pdf", "md5": "8be2c1d4436c702da76081b8d554c310", "mtime": 1277839877000, "tags": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T19:31:17Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T19:31:17Z" } }, { "key": "AH4NBTUD", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/AH4NBTUD", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/AH4NBTUD", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 273662, "username": "lugerpitt", "name": "Louis Luangkesorn", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/lugerpitt", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Jewell et al.", "parsedDate": "2009", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "AH4NBTUD", "version": 1, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Bayesian Analysis for Emerging Infectious Diseases", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Chris P.", "lastName": "Jewell" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Theodore", "lastName": "Kypraios" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Peter", "lastName": "Neal" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Gareth O.", "lastName": "Robert" } ], "abstractNote": "Infectious diseases both within human and animal populations often pose serious health and socioeconomic risks. From a statistical perspective, their prediction is complicated by the fact that no two epidemics are identical due to changing contact habits, mutations of infectious agents, and changing human and animal behaviour in response to the presence of an epidemic. Thus model parameters governing infectious mechanisms will typically be unknown. On the other hand, epidemic control strategies need to be decided rapidly as data accumulate. In this paper we present a fully Bayesian methodology for performing inference\nand online prediction for epidemics in structured populations. Key features of our approach are the development of an MCMC- (and adaptive MCMC-) based methodology for parameter estimation, epidemic prediction, and online assessment of risk from currently unobserved infections. We illustrate our methods using two complementary studies: an analysis of the 2001 UK Foot and Mouth epidemic, and modelling the potential risk from a possible future Avian Influenza epidemic to the UK Poultry industry.", "publicationTitle": "Bayesian Analysis", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2009", "volume": "4", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "465-496", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "Bayesian Analysis", "DOI": "10.1214/09-BA417", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://ba.stat.cmu.edu/journal/2009/vol04/issue03/jewell.pdf", "accessDate": "2010-05-11T03:00:30Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "1931-6690", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "CrossRef", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [ "U4J3KFF8" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T19:31:17Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T19:31:17Z" } }, { "key": "2MFB8592", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - 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Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/V2N9KGD2", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/V2N9KGD2", "type": "text/html" }, "up": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/4MCBXEQ3", "type": "application/json" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } } }, "data": { "key": "V2N9KGD2", "version": 1, "parentItem": "4MCBXEQ3", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "linked_url", "title": "ScienceDirect - Tourism Management : Tourist sector perceptions of natural hazards in Vanuatu and the implications for a small island developing state", "accessDate": "2010-04-28T02:20:37Z", "url": "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleURL&_udi=B6V9R-4DS6V91-2&_user=10&_coverDate=02%2F28%2F2006&_rdoc=1&_fmt=high&_orig=search&_sort=d&_docanchor=&view=c&_searchStrId=1313856332&_rerunOrigin=scholar.google&_acct=C000050221&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=10&md5=1225a90fd86bfea4d689042a5bf3e72f", "note": "", "contentType": "text/html", "charset": "utf-8", "tags": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "FRUISJZE", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/FRUISJZE", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/FRUISJZE", "type": "text/html" }, "up": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/CEZ3M2TE", "type": "application/json" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } } }, "data": { "key": "FRUISJZE", "version": 1, "parentItem": "CEZ3M2TE", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "linked_url", "title": "Tourism Disaster Planning and Management: From Response and Recovery to Reduction and Readiness - Current Issues in Tourism", "accessDate": "2010-04-28T02:22:27Z", "url": "http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a907018903&db=all", "note": "", "contentType": "text/html", "charset": "windows-1252", "tags": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "2JQN66X8", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/2JQN66X8", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/2JQN66X8", "type": "text/html" }, "up": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/ZFE5IJKD", "type": "application/json" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } } }, "data": { "key": "2JQN66X8", "version": 1, "parentItem": "ZFE5IJKD", "itemType": "attachment", "linkMode": "linked_url", "title": "Crisis management in the tourism ... - Google Books", "accessDate": "2010-04-28T02:16:59Z", "url": "http://books.google.com/books?id=VTFpUI-JESYC&dq=Crisis+management+in+the+tourism+industry&lr=&source=gbs_navlinks_s", "note": "", "contentType": "text/html", "charset": "utf-8", "tags": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "KB7UI7EJ", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/KB7UI7EJ", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/KB7UI7EJ", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Faulkner", "parsedDate": "2003", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "KB7UI7EJ", "version": 1, "itemType": "bookSection", "title": "Towards a Framework for Tourism Disaster Management", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Bill", "lastName": "Faulkner" } ], "abstractNote": "from Managing Tourist Health and Safety in the New Millenium, ed. Jeff Wilks, Stephen Page (2003)", "bookTitle": "Managing Tourist Health and Safety in the New Millenium", "series": "", "seriesNumber": "", "volume": "", "numberOfVolumes": "", "edition": "", "date": "2003", "publisher": "Elsevier Science Ltd", "place": "", "originalDate": "", "originalPublisher": "", "originalPlace": "", "format": "", "pages": "", "ISBN": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "Tourism", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [ "V6W8NXAM" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "4MCBXEQ3", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/4MCBXEQ3", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/4MCBXEQ3", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Méheux and Parker", "parsedDate": "2006-02", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "4MCBXEQ3", "version": 1, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Tourist sector perceptions of natural hazards in Vanuatu and the implications for a small island developing state", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Kirstie", "lastName": "Méheux" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "El", "lastName": "Parker" } ], "abstractNote": "Tourism is a popular catalyst for socio-economic development in many small island developing states (SIDS). However, exposure to damaging natural hazards in these nations exacerbates the tourism industry's intrinsic vulnerabilities. The reliance of SIDS on the income-multiplying benefits of tourism make the sustainability of the industry imperative, but the vulnerability of tourism to natural hazards endangers this sustainability. The perception of natural hazards held by tourism managers may influence the adoption of appropriate mitigation and preparedness measures and thus, decrease vulnerability and increase sustainability. Accordingly, this paper presents the method and findings of a pilot study into the accuracy of natural hazard perceptions held by members of the tourism industry in Tanna, an island in the South West Pacific SIDS of Vanuatu. The study finds that perceptions are generally accurate within the industry. However, there is scope for improvement in the prevalence of accurate perceptions. It is recommended that this be achieved through the development and implementation of a comprehensive natural hazards awareness strategy, details of the format and structure of such a strategy are detailed within.", "publicationTitle": "Tourism Management", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "February 2006", "volume": "27", "issue": "1", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "69-85", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "Tourism", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [ "V6W8NXAM" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "CEZ3M2TE", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/CEZ3M2TE", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/CEZ3M2TE", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Ritchie", "parsedDate": "2008-07", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "CEZ3M2TE", "version": 1, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Tourism Disaster Planning and Management: from Response and Recovery to Reduction and Readiness", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Brent", "lastName": "Ritchie" } ], "abstractNote": "Despite the growing number of natural hazards and disasters little research has been conducted on tourism disaster management and planning. Although there have been a growing number of studies in the tourism field on tourism disaster management, most have highlighted, and indeed researched, reactive response and recovery efforts of the tourism industry at the expense of reduction and readiness strategies and initiatives. This paper integrates hazards and emergency planning literature with tourism disaster planning research to examine possible deficiencies and future directions for research in this field. The paper argues that an understanding of tourism disaster planning is only possible through an understanding of literature from the hazards, natural disaster and emergency planning field alongside an analysis of previous tourism disaster planning research. This synthesis suggests a 'post-disciplinary' approach to researching and better understanding the problem of tourism disaster planning involving researchers from disciplines such as education, communication, sociology, emergency planning, hazards and tourism. It is hoped that such an approach would lead to a better understanding of tourism disaster planning, reduction and readiness and the development of suitable policies and initiatives from tourism agencies and industry associations to facilitate more effective planning.", "publicationTitle": "Current Issues in Tourism", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "July 2008", "volume": "11", "issue": "4", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "315-348", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "Tourism", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "", "tags": [], "collections": [ "V6W8NXAM" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z", "dateModified": "2010-06-29T10:40:58Z" } }, { "key": "ZFE5IJKD", "version": 1, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 16425, "name": "University of Pittsburgh - Center for National Preparedness", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/16425/items/ZFE5IJKD", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/university_of_pittsburgh_-_center_for_national_preparedness/items/ZFE5IJKD", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 214463, "username": "PittCNP", "name": "", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/pittcnp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Glaesser", "parsedDate": "2006", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "ZFE5IJKD", "version": 1, "itemType": "book", "title": "Crisis management in the tourism industry", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Dirk", "lastName": "Glaesser" } ], "abstractNote": "Crisis Management in the Tourism Industry aims to illustrate the theories and actions that can be taken to better understand consumer, economic and environmental reaction, in order for the businesses involved to be more prepared for such events. 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