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Simultaneamente, uma abordagem alternativa, baseada na analogia entre oportunidades de investimento e opções financeiras, vem sendo proposta. Depois de apresentar os principais conceitos da abordagem de opções através de exemplos simples, o trabalho aplica as novas técnicas na análise de dois projetos: a instalação de uma montadora de automóveis e a expansão de uma firma produtora de uma commodity industrial exportável. Além de confrontar os resultados da abordagem de opções com os dos métodos tradicionais, a análise permite quantificar os efeitos da incerteza, das variações da taxa de juros e das condições de financiamento na decisão de investir das firmas. Finalmente, o artigo propõe que as instituições financeiras introduzam a nova abordagem na análise de projetos candidatos a financiamentos de longo prazo.", "publicationTitle": "Revista BNDES", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "jun. 1994", "volume": "1", "issue": "1", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "27", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.bndespar.com.br/SiteBNDES/export/sites/default/bndes_pt/Galerias/Arquivos/conhecimento/revista/rev1107.pdf", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0000", "tags": [], "collections": [ "MFQUHR4Q" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-14T18:44:25Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:53Z" } }, { "key": "ECGXKVJR", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/ECGXKVJR", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/ECGXKVJR", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Rigolon", "parsedDate": "1999", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "ECGXKVJR", "version": 69, "itemType": "book", "title": "Opções reais e análise de projetos", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Francisco José Zagari", "lastName": "Rigolon" } ], "abstractNote": "", "series": "", "seriesNumber": "", "volume": "", "numberOfVolumes": "", "edition": "", "date": "1999", "publisher": "BNDES, Area de Planejamento, Departamento Econômico-DEPEC", "place": "", "originalDate": "", "originalPublisher": "", "originalPlace": "", "format": "", "numPages": "40", "ISBN": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.bndes.gov.br/SiteBNDES/export/sites/default/bndes_pt/Galerias/Arquivos/conhecimento/td/Td-66.pdf", "accessDate": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0018", "tags": [], "collections": [ "MFQUHR4Q" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-14T17:54:47Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:49Z" } }, { "key": "E54HGMEM", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/E54HGMEM", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/E54HGMEM", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Frezatti et al.", "parsedDate": "2012", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "E54HGMEM", "version": 69, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Decisões de investimento em ativos de longo prazo nas empresas brasileiras: qual a aderência ao modelo teórico?", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Fábio", "lastName": "Frezatti" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Diógenes", "lastName": "de Souza Bido" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Ana Paula Capuano", "lastName": "da Cruz" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Marcelo Francini Girão", "lastName": "Barroso" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Maria José", "lastName": "de Camargo Machado" } ], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "RAC. Revista de Administração Contemporânea", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2012", "volume": "", "issue": "1", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "1-22", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.scielo.br/pdf/rac/v16n1/a02v16n1.pdf", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0001", "tags": [], "collections": [ "MFQUHR4Q" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-14T18:44:25Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:47Z" } }, { "key": "CXF3APHJ", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/CXF3APHJ", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/CXF3APHJ", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Hwang et al.", "parsedDate": "2012", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "CXF3APHJ", "version": 69, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Public private partnership projects in Singapore: Factors, critical risks and preferred risk allocation from the perspective of contractors", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Bon-Gang", "lastName": "Hwang" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Xianbo", "lastName": "Zhao" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Mindy Jiang Shu", "lastName": "Gay" } ], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "International Journal of Project Management", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2012", "volume": "", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0001", "tags": [], "collections": [ "MFQUHR4Q" ], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-15T00:15:51Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:46Z" } }, { "key": "C87G8CSZ", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/C87G8CSZ", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/C87G8CSZ", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Fouracre and Maunder", "parsedDate": "1999", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "C87G8CSZ", "version": 69, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Experiences from metro schemes in developing countries", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "P. R.", "lastName": "Fouracre" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "D. A. C.", "lastName": "Maunder" } ], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "Business Briefing: Global Mass Transit Systems (World Series)", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "1999", "volume": "", "issue": "", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.transport-links.org/transport_links/filearea/publications/1_629_PA3551_1999.pdf", "accessDate": "2013-05-26T16:44:45Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "Google Scholar", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0001", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-05-26T16:44:45Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:44Z" } }, { "key": "BFQ2CUKT", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/BFQ2CUKT", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/BFQ2CUKT", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Pamplona", "parsedDate": "2005", "numChildren": 2 }, "data": { "key": "BFQ2CUKT", "version": 69, "itemType": "journalArticle", "title": "Teoria das Opções Reais: uma atraente opção no processo de análise de investimentos", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Elieber Mateus dos Santos e Edson de Oliveira", "lastName": "Pamplona" } ], "abstractNote": "", "publicationTitle": "Revista de Administra&ccdeil;ão da Universidade de São Paulo", "publisher": "", "place": "", "date": "2005", "volume": "40", "issue": "3", "section": "", "partNumber": "", "partTitle": "", "pages": "", "series": "", "seriesTitle": "", "seriesText": "", "journalAbbreviation": "", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "http://www.rausp.usp.br/busca/artigo.asp?num_artigo=1166", "accessDate": "2013-04-14T17:34:12Z", "PMID": "", "PMCID": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "Teoria das Opções Reais", "language": "", "libraryCatalog": "www.rausp.usp.br", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0018", "tags": [], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-14T17:34:12Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:43Z" } }, { "key": "AUSN3RNA", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/AUSN3RNA", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/AUSN3RNA", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Cendón et al.", "parsedDate": "2000", "numChildren": 1 }, "data": { "key": "AUSN3RNA", "version": 69, "itemType": "book", "title": "Fontes de informação para pesquisadores e profissionais", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Beatriz Valadares", "lastName": "Cendón" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Bernadete Santos", "lastName": "Campello" }, { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Jeannette Marguerite", "lastName": "Kremer" } ], "abstractNote": "Esta edição de 'Fontes de Informação para Pesquisadores e Profissionais', rica em indicações de acessos via Internet a materiais informativos diversos, apresenta a contribuição de vários autores no que diz respeito à melhoria da qualidade e à eficiência dos serviços relacionados com a identificação, seleção e provimentos de informações. Obra destinada a profissionais dedicados à pesquisa, professores e alunos de Biblioteconomia e Ciência da Informação.", "series": "", "seriesNumber": "", "volume": "", "numberOfVolumes": "", "edition": "", "date": "2000", "publisher": "Editora UFMG", "place": "", "originalDate": "", "originalPublisher": "", "originalPlace": "", "format": "", "numPages": "328", "ISBN": "9788570412096", "DOI": "", "citationKey": "", "url": "", "accessDate": "", "ISSN": "", "archive": "", "archiveLocation": "", "shortTitle": "", "language": "pt", "libraryCatalog": "Google Books", "callNumber": "", "rights": "", "extra": "Cited by 0000", "tags": [ { "tag": "Language Arts & Disciplines / Library & Information Science / General", "type": 1 } ], "collections": [], "relations": {}, "dateAdded": "2013-04-14T18:44:25Z", "dateModified": "2013-09-08T02:50:41Z" } }, { "key": "AS779I45", "version": 69, "library": { "type": "group", "id": 161034, "name": "MPAGP_Financas", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas", "type": "text/html" } } }, "links": { "self": { "href": "https://api.zotero.org/groups/161034/items/AS779I45", "type": "application/json" }, "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/groups/mpagp_financas/items/AS779I45", "type": "text/html" } }, "meta": { "createdByUser": { "id": 1367390, "username": "mpagp", "name": "Mestrado Profissional em Administração Gestão de Projetos", "links": { "alternate": { "href": "https://www.zotero.org/mpagp", "type": "text/html" } } }, "creatorSummary": "Fonseca", "parsedDate": "2008", "numChildren": 0 }, "data": { "key": "AS779I45", "version": 69, "itemType": "thesis", "title": "Análise de Projetos no Setor Químico: Uma Abordagem pela Teoria das Opções Reais", "creators": [ { "creatorType": "author", "firstName": "Fernando V. D. N.", "lastName": "Fonseca" } ], "abstractNote": "O presente documento tem por objetivo realizar a análise de viabilidade econômica para a implantação e operação da Fase 1 de um modelo de negócios voltado para a produção, no mercado brasileiro, de tintas especiais para aplicações industriais. Tal análise foi desenvolvida utilizando-se a Teoria das Opções Reais em um processo de simulação de Monte Carlo onde os custos (fatores de incerteza) serão considerados estocásticos seguindo um movimento de reversão à média. Desta forma serão\nquantificados os efeitos das flexibilidades gerenciais e como estes afetam o valor do projeto através de uma forma eficiente de simular fluxos de caixa. O mercado dessas tintas especiais e patenteadas, tem hoje participação expressiva na Europa e, pelas características dos seus produtos, observa-se um alto potencial de entrada no Brasil. São tintas anticorrosivas isentas de pigmentos metálicos e solventes, indicadas para todos os segmentos industriais, com alta resistência química e mecânica e diversos tipos de acabamento. Uma das grandes vantagens das tintas que utilizam essa tecnologia é que o processo de cura não requer nenhum tipo de exposição ao sol, evaporação ou radiação ultravioleta, resultando em produtos com a fase de secagem mais rápida e vida útil muito maior. O modelo de negócio da\nfase 1 consiste na terceirização da produção onde, através da supervisão direta, será verificada a correta alocação dos insumos de modo garantir a qualidade das tintas. 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